Friend and New Mexico emigre Brenda Chamberlain worries that McCain might claw his way out of the grave with less than 48 hours to go, but according to computer-scientific evidence, she and other fretting Obamaphiles (Obamaites? Obamaians? Obamans?) should go ahead and ice the champagne.
The good news for McCain: An exhaustive computer simulation of likely election scenarios showed him winning 624 times.
The bad news for McCain: That’s 624 out of 10,000 runs. Key quote:
In all McCain’s winning scenarios, these states were must-haves: Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Indiana and Montana. He also picked up Ohio in 621 out of the 624 simulations, and North Carolina in 622 out of 624. If McCain drops any of those states, it’s pretty much over.
More detail about this fascinating exercise plus all kinds of possible outcome maps here.