Note to Nervous O-Fans: The Cake is Baked

Friend and New Mexico emigre Brenda Chamberlain worries  that McCain might claw his way out of the grave with less than 48 hours to go, but according to computer-scientific evidence, she and other fretting Obamaphiles (Obamaites? Obamaians? Obamans?) should go ahead and ice the champagne.

The good news for McCain: An exhaustive computer simulation of likely election scenarios showed him winning 624 times.

The bad news for McCain: That’s 624 out of 10,000 runs. Key quote:

 In all McCain’s winning scenarios, these states were must-haves: Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Indiana and Montana. He also picked up Ohio in 621 out of the 624 simulations, and North Carolina in 622 out of 624. If McCain drops any of those states, it’s pretty much over.

  More detail about this fascinating exercise  plus all kinds of possible outcome maps here.

Advertisements

One thought on “Note to Nervous O-Fans: The Cake is Baked

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s